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Moody’s Outlooks highlight our forward-looking views on global credit conditions and trends across sectors, countries and regions

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2021 Outlooks

In an unprecedented year ahead for credit markets, register and gain exclusive access to a wealth of Moody's expertise in our series of virtual events, reports, podcasts, and infographics.



Highlights

INTERACTIVE GRAPHIC

Six themes that will shape credit in 2021

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Recent Outlooks

Higher quality issuers, particularly in emerging Asia, will navigate 2021 fairly well, supported by strong economic or industry positions and healthy access to capital. But smaller governments and companies that have concentrated revenue streams or significant external funding requirements will endure another year of liquidity and, potentially, solvency stress.
Rahul Ghosh
Senior Vice President - Credit Strategy & Research, Moody's Investors Service
Moody's Investors Service

Emerging Markets – Global

Pandemic will leave lasting scars on credit quality despite tentative recovery.

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Outlook Summary
 

Global Credit Conditions

Slow economic recovery and uneven pandemic effects will shape credit environment
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Global Macro Outlook

Nascent economic rebound takes hold globally but recovery will remain fragile.
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Negative

Global Sovereign Outlook

Negative 2021 outlook as pandemic fallout weighs on economic activity, government finances, complicates policy choices
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Podcast

Recent Outlook Connection Podcasts

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ON DEMAND

In conversation with Dr. Mohamed El-Erian

 

Highlights

Global recovery in 2021: ‘Uneven, uncertain and unequal’ [6 mins] [ Fiscal support and a ‘second wave’ financial shock [4 mins] Inflation expectations [3 mins] Economic fundamentals & monetary policy[3 mins] Differentiation between EM: What’s driving the rebound?[4 mins] EM Rates: Will central banks be dovish or hawkish? [5 mins] Oil & gas based economies: How vulnerable are they? [3 mins] Preventing further credit stress and crisis in emerging & frontier markets [3 mins] What President Biden means for EM and US-China relationships? [4 mins] Covid, the great unequalizer” [4 mins] The silver linings of the pandemic” [4 mins]

About this video

As part of Moody’s Outlooks season we are joined by Dr. Mohamed El-Erian to discuss expectations for global economic recovery, differentiation between emerging markets, rising social risks.

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Live

01 Dec

Global Airlines 2021 Outlook

  • What does the new baseline forecast for passenger traffic and demand look like?
  • How is the increase of COVID cases and return of travel restrictions affecting the industry against the backdrop of promising vaccine trials?
  • What have the market access and government support programs done for the backstop liquidity as well as cash burn rates?
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Live

08 Dec

2021 Outlook – Global Banks

  • Most banks can shoulder the coronavirus shock
  • Unwinding of fiscal support will reveal the full credit challenge
  • Low interest rates add to profitability pressure
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