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Explore with us the aftermath of the pandemic. Find out what market experts expect, which sectors have bounced back, which sectors will be transformed, and which will carry the deepest scars from the downturn.
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Agenda
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09:00
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09:05
Macro and regional trends shaping Portugal
- What are the longer-term growth consequences of the coronavirus pandemic for Portugal?
- Higher debt burdens in a low interest-rate environment - what are the trade-offs for Portugal’s credit strength?
- Next generation EU: What will be its long-term impact for the EU? Will Portugal grasp this once-in-a-generation opportunity?
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09:30
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09:50
Lasting credit scars in Portugal after the pandemic
- How would the recovery vary by sectors: Hard hit vs. stronger placed? What would be the future of real estate after the pandemic abates?
- How resilient would the banking sector be after the pandemic abates? What impact would it have for corporates, covered bonds and sovereigns?
- ESG risks: How would Portugal's sovereign ESG score compare with other sovereigns?
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10:30
Close of the event
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SpeakersJuan Pablo Soriano Managing Director, Structured Finance Moody's Investors Service
Sarah Carlson Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Moody's Investors Service
Vincent Allilaire Vice President - Senior Credit Officer/CSR, Credit Strategy & Standards Moody's Investors Service
Laura Perez Martinez Associate Managing Director/CSR, Credit Strategy & Standards Moody's Investors Service
Pepa Mori Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, EMEA Banking Moody's Investors Service
Carlos Winzer Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance Moody's Investors Service
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AGENDA (GMT)
09:00 Welcome Remarks
09:05 Macro and regional trends shaping Portugal
09:30 Presentation: Credit downturn will be small and short-lived
09:50 Lasting credit scars in Portugal after the pandemic
10:30 Close of the event
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| Juan Pablo Soriano joined Moody’s Investors Service in London in 1994. He is currently based in Madrid as Managing Director of EMEA Covered Bonds and global Covered Bond coordinator. He is also the country manager for Spain and Portugal. Prior to joining Moody’s, Mr Soriano had various responsibilities first at a Stock Broker Agency and then in the New York branch of the Banco Central Hispanoamericano back in 1988, holding diverse positions as Money Market Manager, Assistant Vice President in the Loan & Investment Department and Vice President in the Trade Finance Department. In 1993 he was transferred to Madrid as Vice-President of the Fixed Income Department. Mr Soriano is a graduate in Law by the Universidad Complutense of Madrid, Spain, and holds an MBA in Finance by the Leonard Stern School of Business (NYU). |
Sarah is responsible for a portfolio of credits that includes the United Kingdom, Ireland, Portugal, and Cyprus. She is also one of the Sovereign Risk Group’s global spokespeople. She joined Moody’s in 2009 after completing a Sloan Fellowship at the London Business School.
Prior to this academic sabbatical, she spent seven years at the Financial Services Authority in London where she headed the regulator’s Risk Analysis area and acted as its chief macroeconomist. Before joining the FSA, she worked in Dun & Bradstreet’s Economic Analysis Group for six years, where she was the organisation’s Deputy Chief Economist.
She holds an MA in European Studies (with a concentration in Economics and Finance) from the Elliott School of International Affairs at the George Washington University and an AB with a double major in Government and History from Dartmouth College. She is a CFA Charterholder.
| Vincent Allilaire is a VP-Senior Credit Officer in the Credit Strategy and Standards team. In this role, he leads the thematic credit research for the EMEA region, integrating macroeconomic and credit trends with credit views across rating groups and sectors to ensure rating consistency. Vincent joined in December 2017 from Legal & General Investment Management (LGIM), where he was leading the credit team focusing on illiquid, unrated debt investments, including assigning internal ratings across a wide range of structures and sectors. Prior to joining LGIM, Vincent worked for MetLife in an investment role focusing on infrastructure debt in Europe. Prior to that, he spent 10 years at Standard & Poor’s as an analyst covering corporates , then project finance credits. His first credit role was at Deutsche Bank. Vincent is a dual French-British national, and holds a Master’s degree in Finance from the University of Southampton, having previously graduated in Economics and Political Sciences from the French Institute of Political Sciences in Bordeaux, where he originates from. |
| Laura Perez Martinez is Moody’s Chief Credit Officer in the EU, and an Associate Managing Director in the Credit Strategy team. In her CCO role, Laura is responsible for identifying and analysing the broad macro and credit trends, and leading and coordinating Moody’s ratings approach, across franchises in the region. Laura joined Moody’s in 2008 in London, where she worked as a senior credit analyst, covering leading European financial institutions. She relocated to Madrid in September 2016 to join the corporate finance team. Before joining Moody’s, Laura worked for AM Best covering European insurers. Laura holds a B.A. in Business Administration from University of Oviedo in Spain, and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). |
Sarah is responsible for a portfolio of credits that includes the United Kingdom, Ireland, Portugal, and Cyprus. She is also one of the Sovereign Risk Group’s global spokespeople. She joined Moody’s in 2009 after completing a Sloan Fellowship at the London Business School.
Prior to this academic sabbatical, she spent seven years at the Financial Services Authority in London where she headed the regulator’s Risk Analysis area and acted as its chief macroeconomist. Before joining the FSA, she worked in Dun & Bradstreet’s Economic Analysis Group for six years, where she was the organisation’s Deputy Chief Economist.
She holds an MA in European Studies (with a concentration in Economics and Finance) from the Elliott School of International Affairs at the George Washington University and an AB with a double major in Government and History from Dartmouth College. She is a CFA Charterholder.
Pepa Mori is a Vice President – Senior Credit Officer in the Financial Institutions Group. She joined Moody’s in July 2008 as part of the Spanish and Portuguese team. Since then she has managed a wide portfolio of issuers, currently covering banks in Spain, Portugal and Italy.
Prior to joining Moody’s, Ms. Mori worked as a credit analyst in a variety of roles. These include credit research at BBVA, rating European sub-sovereigns and public sector companies at Standard & Poor’s; and financial analysis at BBVA’s asset management division.
Ms. Mori holds a Bachelor Degree in Business Administration and MSc in Finance from Colegio Universitario de Estudios Financieros (CUNEF), Madrid (Spain).
Carlos Winzer is a Senior Vice President at Moody’s Investors Service where he heads up the European telecommunications team in the Corporate Finance Group. Mr. Winzer joined Moody´s New York in 1992. After spending two years at Moody’s office in NY and eight years in London, he relocated to the Madrid office in 2002. He joined Moody’s from Citibank NA, where he was Corporate Bank Risk Manager and Relationship Officer in Corporate Finance. Mr. Winzer holds a graduate degree in economics and business administration from CUNEF (Colegio Universitario de Estudios Financieros in Madrid). In addition, he holds a postgraduate degree in business administration from Guildhall University in London. Mr. Winzer is a professor at ICADE business school and IEB MBA program in Madrid.
| Juan Pablo Soriano joined Moody’s Investors Service in London in 1994. He is currently based in Madrid as Managing Director of EMEA Covered Bonds and global Covered Bond coordinator. He is also the country manager for Spain and Portugal. Prior to joining Moody’s, Mr Soriano had various responsibilities first at a Stock Broker Agency and then in the New York branch of the Banco Central Hispanoamericano back in 1988, holding diverse positions as Money Market Manager, Assistant Vice President in the Loan & Investment Department and Vice President in the Trade Finance Department. In 1993 he was transferred to Madrid as Vice-President of the Fixed Income Department. Mr Soriano is a graduate in Law by the Universidad Complutense of Madrid, Spain, and holds an MBA in Finance by the Leonard Stern School of Business (NYU). |
Sarah is responsible for a portfolio of credits that includes the United Kingdom, Ireland, Portugal, and Cyprus. She is also one of the Sovereign Risk Group’s global spokespeople. She joined Moody’s in 2009 after completing a Sloan Fellowship at the London Business School.
Prior to this academic sabbatical, she spent seven years at the Financial Services Authority in London where she headed the regulator’s Risk Analysis area and acted as its chief macroeconomist. Before joining the FSA, she worked in Dun & Bradstreet’s Economic Analysis Group for six years, where she was the organisation’s Deputy Chief Economist.
She holds an MA in European Studies (with a concentration in Economics and Finance) from the Elliott School of International Affairs at the George Washington University and an AB with a double major in Government and History from Dartmouth College. She is a CFA Charterholder.
| Vincent Allilaire is a VP-Senior Credit Officer in the Credit Strategy and Standards team. In this role, he leads the thematic credit research for the EMEA region, integrating macroeconomic and credit trends with credit views across rating groups and sectors to ensure rating consistency. Vincent joined in December 2017 from Legal & General Investment Management (LGIM), where he was leading the credit team focusing on illiquid, unrated debt investments, including assigning internal ratings across a wide range of structures and sectors. Prior to joining LGIM, Vincent worked for MetLife in an investment role focusing on infrastructure debt in Europe. Prior to that, he spent 10 years at Standard & Poor’s as an analyst covering corporates , then project finance credits. His first credit role was at Deutsche Bank. Vincent is a dual French-British national, and holds a Master’s degree in Finance from the University of Southampton, having previously graduated in Economics and Political Sciences from the French Institute of Political Sciences in Bordeaux, where he originates from. |
| Laura Perez Martinez is Moody’s Chief Credit Officer in the EU, and an Associate Managing Director in the Credit Strategy team. In her CCO role, Laura is responsible for identifying and analysing the broad macro and credit trends, and leading and coordinating Moody’s ratings approach, across franchises in the region. Laura joined Moody’s in 2008 in London, where she worked as a senior credit analyst, covering leading European financial institutions. She relocated to Madrid in September 2016 to join the corporate finance team. Before joining Moody’s, Laura worked for AM Best covering European insurers. Laura holds a B.A. in Business Administration from University of Oviedo in Spain, and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). |
Pepa Mori is a Vice President – Senior Credit Officer in the Financial Institutions Group. She joined Moody’s in July 2008 as part of the Spanish and Portuguese team. Since then she has managed a wide portfolio of issuers, currently covering banks in Spain, Portugal and Italy.
Prior to joining Moody’s, Ms. Mori worked as a credit analyst in a variety of roles. These include credit research at BBVA, rating European sub-sovereigns and public sector companies at Standard & Poor’s; and financial analysis at BBVA’s asset management division.
Ms. Mori holds a Bachelor Degree in Business Administration and MSc in Finance from Colegio Universitario de Estudios Financieros (CUNEF), Madrid (Spain).
Carlos Winzer is a Senior Vice President at Moody’s Investors Service where he heads up the European telecommunications team in the Corporate Finance Group. Mr. Winzer joined Moody´s New York in 1992. After spending two years at Moody’s office in NY and eight years in London, he relocated to the Madrid office in 2002. He joined Moody’s from Citibank NA, where he was Corporate Bank Risk Manager and Relationship Officer in Corporate Finance. Mr. Winzer holds a graduate degree in economics and business administration from CUNEF (Colegio Universitario de Estudios Financieros in Madrid). In addition, he holds a postgraduate degree in business administration from Guildhall University in London. Mr. Winzer is a professor at ICADE business school and IEB MBA program in Madrid.